Covid: the algorithm analyzes the waves of disease and can revolutionize prevention

Researchers from Cardiff and Oxford Universities have developed a method to define waves of Covid-19 and thus predict the progression of the virus. The algorithm they created intends to fill the gap of criteria for defining the “waves” of the pandemic and defines periods, described as “observed waves”.

lack of criteria

The study, published in Helyonit arises from the lack of criteria to define the waves of the pandemic, even in the face of the media repercussions and the impact on public life.

The founder of the project, Dr. Adam Mahdi, explains that the initiative makes this division based on an algorithmic approach. Therefore, it provides a possible means to understand and define both the waves and the behavior of the virus, as the study applies to daily cases and deaths from Covid-19.

According to him, according to the established mathematical criteria, the research “contributes to a broader analysis of the progression of the epidemic”.

how waves work

For Professor Ricardo Aguas, of the Nuffield Department of Medicine and co-author of the article published in Helyonthe algorithm developed by the study, applied to real cases, helps to establish these criteria necessary to consider waves as a pandemic.

The research has identified three types of wave based on the amount of infections. Temporary fluctuations and dips between waves were ignored unless they fell below a certain threshold of the mean value.

What is the application?

With information from MedicalXpress

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Source: Olhar Digital