They predict choppy inflation and mild GDP growth for 2023
the economic growth of 0.95 percent, annual headline inflation of 5.18% and Treference interest rate of 10.25%is the analyst mean for Mexico in 2023according to Waiting for Citibanamex.
However, given the recessionary outlook for the US economy, it is possible tightening of monetary policiesnew disturbances in the value chains and new warsscenarios vary between analysis groups and national and international economic councils.
In a more optimistic scenario, institutions such as JP Morgan Yes multiva they are waiting for Gross domestic product (GDP) Mexican achieve a rate of 1.80%, general inflation of 4.20 by Natixis Yes a minimum bank financing rate of 9 pointsprovided by Economy of Oxford.
Whereas in a pessimistic scenario, we expect the 2023 end GDP with a fall of 0.50 percent by Bank of America Yes Bursametric group; that inflation is at 5.70%, according to Barclays and the reference interest rate reached 11.25 pointsaccording to Itaú’s estimates, BBVA, multiva Yes Signum Search.
Pamela DiazEconomist for Mexico BNP Paribasindicated that the country in 2023 will sail through two major ports, one, the one linked to the recession in the united statesand two, the prospects of the call relocation.
He explained that many of the the survey’s growth forecast depends on expectations of an economic slowdown of the United States and the profit or capitalization that Mexico makes with the relocation of companies.
Gabriela Siller, director of Economic analysis of Grupo Financiero Base, predicts that the Mexican economy would increase by 1.7%; while BBVA Mexico observes an environment with less dynamism in consumption and investment.
Source: El Heraldo De Mexico
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